Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
STG
0 - 3
BAS
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
GCZ
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 0
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZUR
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
22%
25%
53%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 1
SIO
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |