Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZUR
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
BYM
20%
21%
59%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
SIO
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
NEC
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FCL
2 - 0
YOB
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LAU
0 - 0
FCL
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
39%
25%
37%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 2
SER
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |