Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 3
BAS
12%
19%
69%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 3
BAS
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
YOB
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 2
STG
74%
15%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 3
BAS
12%
20%
69%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
WOH
1 - 2
FCL
18%
22%
60%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 1
GCZ
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
THU
3 - 1
FCL
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 0
LAU
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |