Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
SCF
1 - 3
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
BAS
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 1
DVS
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
STG
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
DVS
0 - 2
BAS
40%
24%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
FCL
2 - 3
SIO
53%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 3
UTR
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
FCL
4 - 2
NEX
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
UTR
1 - 0
FCL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCL
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |