Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
YOB
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
57%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
SIO
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 0
GCZ
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
SCH
2 - 2
BAS
13%
20%
67%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2007 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
57%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCL
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
YOB
3 - 1
FCL
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |