Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
WIS
3 - 1
BAS
34%
23%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ZUR
3 - 2
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 2
ASN
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
SIO
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 3
BAS
7%
15%
78%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
FCL
0 - 1
STG
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 0
SCH
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
FCL
0 - 1
GCZ
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
FCA
0 - 1
FCL
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |