Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
CEL
3 - 1
BAS
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ZUR
0 - 4
BAS
34%
27%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
BAS
3 - 0
ZIL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
BAS
4 - 2
SER
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
ZIL
1 - 1
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 0
GCZ
15%
18%
67%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
THU
3 - 1
FCL
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 3
ZUR
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
SER
2 - 0
FCL
71%
18%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
STG
5 - 0
FCL
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |