Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
BAS
18%
22%
61%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
GCZ
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LAU
0 - 0
BAS
14%
19%
67%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 3
DYN
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
ZUR
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 1
ZUR
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
LUG
4 - 1
STG
26%
23%
51%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
LUG
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
YOB
19%
23%
58%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 1
GCZ
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |