Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 1
OMO
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
4 - 2
KAI
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LUG
45%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 0
LAU
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FCL
2 - 3
LUG
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
GCZ
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 1
LUG
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |