Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
SIO
2 - 3
BAS
21%
24%
55%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 4
ZUR
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 5
BAS
19%
21%
61%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
THU
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
STG
0 - 1
LUG
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 2
YOB
16%
23%
62%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
LAU
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |