Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NEX
0 - 3
BAS
18%
21%
62%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
PFO
1 - 4
BAS
3%
9%
88%
|
85 | 35 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
LAS
3 - 1
BAS
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
SER
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 2
LAS
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
STG
3 - 2
LUG
38%
25%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
CON
0 - 5
LUG
5%
11%
83%
|
76 | 15 | 61 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
SIO
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
YOB
2 - 0
LUG
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
THU
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |