Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 2
YOB
36%
24%
40%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
NEX
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GCZ
1 - 1
LUG
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 0
LUG
41%
24%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
STG
0 - 2
LUG
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
17%
21%
62%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |