Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
STG
0 - 7
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 4
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 2
ZUR
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
YOB
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
24%
23%
52%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 4
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
YOB
7 - 0
LUG
70%
17%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 6
SIO
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GCZ
0 - 1
LUG
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |