UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 2-5
Basel vs LASK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
THU
2 - 3
BAS
17%
21%
63%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 2
STG
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 2
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
SIO
1 - 4
BAS
15%
21%
63%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
LASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AUS
0 - 3
LAS
26%
23%
50%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LAS
2 - 0
ALT
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
VOC
2 - 6
LAS
5%
12%
83%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
LAS
1 - 1
HEI
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
BOH
1 - 2
LAS
20%
24%
56%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |