Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
12º
9º
30
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 3
BAS
36%
25%
40%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
STG
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SER
4 - 1
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
YVE
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GCZ
5 - 0
LAU
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
GCZ
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GCZ
5 - 2
STA
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 0
GCZ
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STG
3 - 1
GCZ
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |