Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
DNI
1 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
34%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LAU
1 - 2
BAS
16%
23%
61%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
DNI
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 0
SIO
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 3
BAS
8%
16%
76%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GCZ
2 - 0
YOB
26%
25%
50%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
GCZ
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 1
GCZ
22%
22%
56%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GCZ
1 - 0
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SIO
1 - 1
GCZ
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |