Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
39%
24%
36%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FCL
4 - 5
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CSK
0 - 2
BAS
37%
25%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LEM
1 - 3
BAS
8%
14%
78%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
5 - 0
SIO
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
STG
1 - 0
GCZ
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GCZ
2 - 1
YOB
29%
24%
46%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
GCZ
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SIO
2 - 3
GCZ
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |