Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
STG
0 - 3
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZUR
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
YOB
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
57%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCA
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
FCA
3 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCA
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
FCA
1 - 1
STG
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |