Basel vs Aarau analysis

Basel Aarau
85 ELO 72
18.6% Tilt 10.2%
247º General ELO ranking 742º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
77.9%
Basel
14.2%
Draw
7.9%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
Basel
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.9%
Win probability
Aarau
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Basel
+19%
-3%
Aarau

ELO progression

Basel
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2002
BAS
Basel
7 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
75%
16%
10%
85 75 10 0
01 Sep. 2002
GCZ
Grasshopper
2 - 3
Basel
BAS
56%
22%
23%
85 85 0 0
28 Aug. 2002
BAS
Basel
2 - 0
Celtic
CEL
60%
21%
19%
84 83 1 +1
24 Aug. 2002
THU
Thun
4 - 2
Basel
BAS
25%
24%
52%
85 72 13 -1
17 Aug. 2002
BAS
Basel
2 - 3
Luzern
FCL
83%
12%
6%
85 65 20 0

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2002
THU
Thun
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
53%
23%
23%
73 74 1 0
31 Aug. 2002
FCA
Aarau
1 - 2
Luzern
FCL
56%
23%
21%
74 67 7 -1
24 Aug. 2002
SER
Servette
5 - 0
Aarau
FCA
63%
21%
16%
74 83 9 0
18 Aug. 2002
FCA
Aarau
3 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
39%
27%
34%
74 80 6 0
11 Aug. 2002
DEL
Delemont
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
42%
25%
32%
74 69 5 0