Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
KRI
3 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 3
SIO
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 3
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1997 |
BAS
0 - 0
ETO
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
NEX
3 - 0
FCA
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
FCA
0 - 2
GCZ
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
STG
2 - 1
FCA
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
FCA
0 - 0
CAO
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
FCA
1 - 1
SIO
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |