Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 1
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
BAD
2 - 1
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 2
LOC
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1992 |
FCA
4 - 1
FCM
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1992 |
LUG
0 - 0
FCA
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 1
LUG
41%
28%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCA
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |