Basel vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
BAS
20%
22%
59%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 2
ANO
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCV
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
OSI
1 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 5
SAA
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LPL
2 - 1
CSK
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CSK
3 - 1
B36
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUD
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
CSK
2 - 0
BAT
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CVA
1 - 1
CSK
27%
29%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |