Basel vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 5
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
BOT
64%
20%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 2
SGF
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 1
MAG
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 1
CRU
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 3
STM
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
33%
24%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 2
LAR
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |