UCL Qualifying Play Offs Final
Global 1-3
Basel vs CFR Cluj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
LAU
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
MFK
61%
21%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MFK
0 - 1
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CFR Cluj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
CLU
2 - 2
CSM
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 2
CLU
43%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SLI
1 - 2
CLU
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CLU
3 - 0
VAS
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
CLU
1 - 0
SLI
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |