Basel vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
60.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
YOB
3 - 1
BAS
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SIO
1 - 2
BAS
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
LUD
0 - 0
BAS
31%
23%
46%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BAS
6 - 0
FCV
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
LAU
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
WHU
1 - 5
ARS
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 2
SOU
64%
22%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 1
BOU
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 2
PSG
52%
24%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
28%
25%
48%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |