UEFA Youth League 1/64
Global 3-0
FC Basel U19 vs KAA Gent U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
KAA
0 - 1
BAS
9%
14%
77%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
HAS
2 - 2
BAS
8%
13%
79%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 2
HAS
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 0
BAS
53%
20%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 0
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
KAA
0 - 1
BAS
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
KAA
0 - 2
ZEN
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
OLY
4 - 0
KAA
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
KAA
0 - 4
VAL
13%
20%
67%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
5 - 1
KAA
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |