FC Basel II vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DEL
3 - 1
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
TUG
66%
18%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
SCB
81%
13%
7%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SCB
1 - 5
BAS
21%
22%
58%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 0
OLD
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 2
ETO
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 1
BAS
9%
15%
76%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
2 - 1
BRE
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
OLD
3 - 5
TUG
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 0
OLD
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |