FC Basel II vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DEL
1 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 3
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KRI
0 - 0
BAS
46%
24%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAV
3 - 0
BAS
44%
23%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
CHA
41%
23%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
LUZ
19%
21%
61%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LUZ
3 - 1
YOU
50%
22%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BUL
3 - 2
LUZ
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LUZ
3 - 3
VEV
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DEL
2 - 3
LUZ
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |