FC Basel II vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 0
ETO
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 2
BAS
62%
19%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
KRI
26%
21%
53%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BIE
5 - 1
BAS
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 2
BIE
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
4 - 4
LUG
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SCB
0 - 0
LUZ
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
4 - 2
SER
70%
17%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DEL
3 - 2
LUZ
25%
22%
53%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |