FC Basel II vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 4
STA
42%
24%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
YFJ
0 - 5
BAS
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 0
BAS
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
YOU
65%
18%
17%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
4 - 3
CHA
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
YOU
2 - 2
LUZ
55%
21%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
5 - 0
STG
62%
20%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KRI
0 - 1
LUZ
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
2 - 1
BAD
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |