FC Basel II vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
OLT
1 - 4
BAS
10%
16%
75%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZOF
82%
12%
6%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 0
OLD
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FCG
0 - 4
BAS
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
EMM
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 2
OLD
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FCG
2 - 0
LUZ
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LUZ
1 - 1
EMM
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
MUN
1 - 1
LUZ
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LUZ
5 - 1
ZUG
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |