FC Basel II vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 0
LAU
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BAS
8 - 2
ZOF
75%
15%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FCG
1 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
MUN
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
OLD
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
LUZ
0 - 0
WAN
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ZOF
2 - 0
LUZ
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
LUZ
3 - 4
YOU
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FCG
3 - 1
LUZ
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LUZ
1 - 3
SOL
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |