FC Basel II vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOU
62%
21%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
BUL
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
VEV
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 0
DEL
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BAS
0 - 3
FCP
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LUG
0 - 0
BAV
35%
26%
40%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 0
LUG
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LUG
3 - 0
GRA
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
LUZ
1 - 1
LUG
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
LUG
0 - 2
RAP
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |