FC Basel II vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SCB
1 - 0
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
SER
47%
22%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
DEL
0 - 4
BAS
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAS
68%
17%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 2
BAV
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 3
BIE
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
KRI
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
SCB
1 - 0
LUG
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
SER
24%
23%
54%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DEL
5 - 2
LUG
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |