FC Basel II vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
WAN
0 - 5
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
LUZ
0 - 6
BAS
35%
25%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 2
YOU
72%
16%
11%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 3
DEL
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
BAS
9 - 0
MUT
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
YOU
1 - 4
LUZ
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
MUN
0 - 0
LUZ
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
LUZ
2 - 3
LUZ
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ZOF
1 - 1
LUZ
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
SOL
1 - 1
LUZ
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |