FC Basel II vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 1
BAS
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 2
SOL
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
ZOF
1 - 2
BAS
18%
20%
63%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
SEN
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
THU
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 0
FCZ
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MUN
2 - 1
BAD
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAD
2 - 0
MUT
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCG
2 - 0
BAD
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 2
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |