Base Vilobi 2015 vs Cellera A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
28.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Base Vilobi 2015
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BVI
3 - 1
FAR
44%
20%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
BVI
64%
18%
18%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cellera A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 2
BAT
26%
21%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BMA
0 - 3
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
4 - 3
ACR
26%
20%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CEL
4 - 4
ATL
50%
21%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CAM
5 - 1
CEL
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |