4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Base LLagostera CF A vs Riudellots CE A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
13.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Base LLagostera CF A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
RCE
1 - 3
BLA
24%
19%
58%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SAG
3 - 2
BLA
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BLA
4 - 1
BES
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BLA
5 - 3
PEN
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BLA
4 - 0
CEL
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Riudellots CE A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
RCE
1 - 3
BLA
24%
19%
58%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
RCE
1 - 0
GPC
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MON
3 - 2
RCE
54%
19%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RCE
1 - 1
FON
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 2
RCE
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |