Base 96 Seveso vs UC Cairate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Base 96 Seveso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
MOZ
2 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
GAV
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UBO
1 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
BUS
14%
20%
67%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
UC Cairate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
UNI
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
RON
39%
24%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
UNI
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
OLI
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |