Base 96 Seveso vs Lentatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Base 96 Seveso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
TRA
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RHO
5 - 1
BAS
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
OLI
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 0
BAS
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
MAS
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lentatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 3
LEN
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
POR
39%
24%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GAV
0 - 0
LEN
72%
16%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 3
UBO
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
LEN
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |