Base 96 Seveso vs Gavirate Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Base 96 Seveso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UBO
1 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
BUS
14%
20%
67%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
UNI
16%
20%
65%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
LEN
24%
23%
52%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gavirate Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GAV
3 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
5%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 2
TRA
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
GAV
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 2
RON
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |