CD Basconia vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
UDS
2 - 2
BAS
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 3
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
LAU
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
GER
0 - 2
BAS
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZAM
72%
18%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 1
GER
26%
28%
46%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 0
TOL
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
LON
39%
29%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ZAR
1 - 0
TOL
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
CDU
23%
27%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |