CD Basconia vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
UPV
2 - 0
BAS
19%
25%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
BEA
67%
21%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
GER
1 - 1
BAS
41%
29%
30%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZAM
68%
20%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SES
1 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 2
SNT
56%
26%
19%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ARE
3 - 2
TOL
51%
26%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 0
CDG
56%
25%
19%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SDI
1 - 0
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 2
SDA
44%
28%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |