CD Basconia vs Portugalete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
BAS
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 2
AFT
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 2
BAS
14%
22%
65%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 0
URD
69%
18%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 0
AÑO
87%
10%
4%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
BAS
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 1
POR
30%
23%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
DEU
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LEI
2 - 1
POR
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POR
5 - 1
CDU
53%
25%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |