CD Basconia vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
BAS
2 - 1
CDG
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
MIR
5 - 1
BAS
72%
16%
13%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
BAS
4 - 2
SSC
65%
19%
17%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
EIB
3 - 2
BAS
86%
9%
5%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
BAS
3 - 0
RAY
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
NUM
4 - 1
MIR
63%
18%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
SSC
5 - 0
NUM
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
NUM
4 - 2
EIB
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
RAY
4 - 0
NUM
61%
20%
20%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
NUM
2 - 3
MON
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |