CD Basconia vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
23.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
GER
0 - 1
BAS
58%
24%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
BAS
0 - 1
RCF
48%
29%
23%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
TUR
2 - 1
BAS
50%
28%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 1
SPB
63%
23%
14%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
LEM
2 - 1
BAS
49%
29%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
LUG
3 - 0
ATH
55%
27%
18%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
GER
1 - 0
LUG
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
47%
30%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
CFP
0 - 2
LUG
63%
23%
14%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
LUG
0 - 1
UPL
62%
25%
14%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |