CD Basconia vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
ROB
1 - 2
BAS
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
1 - 1
ENS
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
CUL
3 - 0
BAS
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
3 - 2
PON
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
TOL
0 - 1
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDO
36%
28%
36%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
CAU
2 - 0
LUG
38%
29%
33%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
LUG
2 - 1
ATH
24%
27%
49%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
SSC
2 - 0
LUG
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
LUG
4 - 0
SIE
90%
8%
2%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |