CD Basconia vs CD Hernani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
TOL
0 - 0
BAS
30%
29%
41%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZAL
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
ARE
0 - 0
BAS
65%
22%
14%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
BAS
3 - 1
EIB
50%
27%
23%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
ILI
3 - 1
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
CD Hernani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
HER
1 - 1
MUT
66%
21%
14%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
AFT
3 - 3
HER
44%
27%
29%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
HER
1 - 0
SNT
30%
28%
42%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
RUN
1 - 1
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
HER
3 - 2
VIL
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -4 |