CD Basconia vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
RSO
0 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZAM
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DAC
2 - 3
BAS
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 1
LAU
77%
15%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
UPV
0 - 3
BAS
13%
23%
64%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
SDA
56%
26%
18%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
RSO
1 - 1
GER
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
GER
2 - 0
ARE
58%
26%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
GER
0 - 1
DAC
61%
25%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
LAU
1 - 0
GER
27%
27%
47%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |