CD Basconia vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
RSO
0 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZAM
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DAC
2 - 3
BAS
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 1
LAU
77%
15%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CDU
2 - 0
RSO
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CDU
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CDU
2 - 1
DAC
55%
26%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
AUR
1 - 0
CDU
32%
28%
41%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CDU
3 - 1
AUR
44%
27%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |